Table of Contents

Introduction: Why I hated calculus but love statistics | p. ix | |

Acknowledgments | p. xvii | |

What's the Point? | p. 1 | |

Descriptive Statistics: Who was the best baseball player of all time? | p. 15 | |

Appendix to Chapter 2 | p. 34 | |

Deceptive Description: "He's got a great personality!" and other true but grossly misleading statements | p. 36 | |

Correlation: How does Netflix know what movies I like? | p. 58 | |

Appendix to Chapter 4 | p. 65 | |

Basic Probability: Don't buy the extended warranty on your $99 printer | p. 68 | |

51/2 The Monty Hall Problem | p. 90 | |

Problems with Probability: How overconfident math geeks nearly destroyed the global financial system | p. 95 | |

The Importance of Data: "Garbage in, garbage out" | p. 110 | |

The Central Limit Theorem: The Lebron James of statistics | p. 127 | |

Inference: Why my statistics professor thought I might have cheated | p. 143 | |

Appendix to Chapter 9 | p. 164 | |

Polling: How we know that 64 percent of Americans support the death penalty (with a sampling error ± 3 percent) | p. 169 | |

Appendix to Chapter 10 | p. 183 | |

Regression Analysis: The miracle elixir | p. 185 | |

Appendix to Chapter 11 | p. 208 | |

Common Regression Mistakes: The mandatory warning label | p. 212 | |

Program Evaluation: Will going to Harvard change your life? | p. 225 | |

Conclusion: Five questions that statistics can help answer | p. 241 | |

Appendix: Statistical software | p. 257 | |

Notes | p. 261 | |

Index | p. 269 |